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financial time series and use it to improve the short-term forecasts from GARCH models. We study different generalizations of … GARCH that allow for several time scales. On our holding sample, none of the considered models can fully exploit the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062571
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks. Specifically, we apply semi-parametric and parametric methods to the sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the...
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the intraday volatility using a FIGARCH model and the intraday seasonality by the Fourier Flexible Form. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754712
Previous models of monthly CPI inflation time series have focused on possible regime shifts, non-linearities and the feature of long memory. This paper proposes a new time series model, named Adaptive ARFIMA; which appears well suited to describe inflation and potentially other economic time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972510
This paper introduces a new long memory volatility process, denoted by Adaptive FIGARCH, or A-FIGARCH, which is …. A Monte Carlo study ?nds that the A-FIGARCH model outperforms the standard FIGARCH model when structural change is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972519