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financial time series and use it to improve the short-term forecasts from GARCH models. We study different generalizations of … GARCH that allow for several time scales. On our holding sample, none of the considered models can fully exploit the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062571
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks. Specifically, we apply semi-parametric and parametric methods to the sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311861
long memory. This paper uses fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) to test and account for long memory. The analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887
Previous models of monthly CPI inflation time series have focused on possible regime shifts, non-linearities and the feature of long memory. This paper proposes a new time series model, named Adaptive ARFIMA; which appears well suited to describe inflation and potentially other economic time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972510
This paper introduces a new long memory volatility process, denoted by Adaptive FIGARCH, or A-FIGARCH, which is …. A Monte Carlo study ?nds that the A-FIGARCH model outperforms the standard FIGARCH model when structural change is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972519
(ARFIMA) and fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) models, mainly for … feature in FIGARCH models makes them a better candidate than other conditional heteroskedasticity models for modeling … regression technique was used for estimation of different ARFIMA models. Furthermore, different GARCH-type models were also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734732
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks. Specifically, we apply semi-parametric and parametric methods to the sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010984736
regression function and a fractionally integrated skedastic function.We estimate ARFIMA-GARCH and ARFIMA-FIGARCH models under two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558660
memory in squared residuals in FIGARCH models. The investigations are performed by means of simulations FIGARCH(0, d, 0) and … FIGARCH(1, d, 1) models for selected parameters. Simulation results suggest, that estimates of the conditional variance long … between the long memory estimates of squared residuals and the fractional integration parameter d of FIGARCH model can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777173
the intraday volatility using a FIGARCH model and the intraday seasonality by the Fourier Flexible Form. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754712