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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174926
World economic growth has picked up from the sluggish pace registered at the start of the year. We expect global growth at PPP exchange rates to accelerate to 3.5 and 3.6 percent in 2017 and 2018, respectively, up from 3.1 percent this year. Growth in advanced economies will continue at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061456
World economic growth has picked up from the sluggish pace registered at the start of the year. We expect global growth at PPP exchange rates to accelerate to 3.5 and 3.6 percent in 2017 and 2018, respectively, up from 3.1 percent this year. Growth in advanced economies will continue at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143292
economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293721
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604946
Summary The present paper uses the P-Star approach to analyze the real and price effects of German monetary policy on the basis of a multivariate vector-error-correction-model. One surprising result is that the Bundesbank does not cause the price effects of its monetary policy actions directly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608908
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442