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New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These principles rely on the ability of a central bank to manage expectations precisely, with policy prescriptions typically derived under the assumption of perfect information and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496866
information is subject to multiplier effects inherent to social learning. We build upon the static case, where all agents receive … dissemination of public information is thus considerably lower than the static case suggests. If the social learning signal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373562
information is subject to multipliereffects inherent to social learning. We build upon the static case, where all agents receive a … dissemination of public information is thus considerably lower than the static case suggests. If the social learning signal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170549
systematic differences between analysts have been transitional and are indicative of learning, others are more persistent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299102
, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favor of policies that concentrated on the achievement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604383
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
certain features of monetary policy rules that facilitate learning. However a treatment of policy design for learnability in … worlds where agents have potentially misspecified their learning models has yet to surface. This paper provides such a … understanding of the workings of the economy and that their learning the reduced forms of the economy is subject to potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604639
: rational expectations and learning. We show that in this environment the ability to stabilize the real side of the economy is … private learning and misperceptions of natural rates call for greater policy inertia, a more aggressive response to inflation … economy. We show that such policies are quite robust to potential misspecification of private sector learning and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604810
effect of surprise inflation on aggregate demand. We derive the optimal policy under active learning and compare it to two … limiting cases-certainty equivalence policy and cautionary policy, in which learning takes place passively. Our novel result is … that the two passive learning policies represent an upper and lower bound for the active learning policy, irrespective of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263516