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inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
, we study the implications of different inflation regimes on the racial unemployment gap. Higher trend inflation increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283315
The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the real-rate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IS-curve behavior. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917259
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604272
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604509
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422228
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009526206
We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation … rate. As economic theory provides reasons for inflation persistence to differ across conditional quantiles, this is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357837