Preliminary research at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has suggested that including exchange rate stabilisation within the goals of monetary policy significantly increases the volatility of inflation, output and interest rates. The benefits of exchange rate stabilisation therefore do not...

What brings persistence into the macroeconomy? This is one of the big unresolved issues in current macroeconomic theory. Economic models, in fact, typically struggle to imply levels of persistence comparable to those observed in the data. Most of the persistence is therefore introduced by highly...

We consider a general equilibrium model where monetary policy has redistributive effects. Agents have stochastic preferences and face random buying and selling opportunities. We show that the Friedman rule is just the second best policy. However, the Friedman rule is Pareto optimal. It requires...

To date the cointegrating properties and the regime-switching behavior of the term structure are two separate strands of the literature. This paper integrates these lines of research and introduces regime shifts into a cointegrated VAR model. We argue that the short-run dynamics of the...

This paper is a first step toward building a new macroeconomic model that is usable for analyzing the effects of shocks that originate in Japan on Asian economies. The new framework borrows its central ingredients from the literature of the “new open economy macroeconomicsâ€, that is...

This paper surveys the economic literature on simple policy rules and analyzes econometric methods used to estimate them, emphasizing effects of model misspecification. We draw attention to inconsistencies in evaluation of the rules and implications for policy advice, which is commonly done...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing Q with inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to "learn" the laws of motion for both inflation and the rate of growth of Q. Our results show that the Central Bank can achieve great success in reducing the volatility of GDP...

This paper studies a simple monetary growth model with debt and deficits to investigate the effects of various polices on output and inflation when the central bank is `tough.' In sharp contrast to the vast literature which implicitly or explicitly assumes fiscal dominance regime, in which the...