In this paper we introduce a small Keynesian model of economic growth which is centered around two advanced types of Phillips curves, one for money wages and one for prices, both being augmented by perfect myopic foresight and supplemented by a measure of the medium-term inflationary climate...

In this paper, we use Weil's (1989) overlapping dynasties framework to analyse a microfounded version of the real balance effect envisaged by Pigou (1944). The effect is absent from representative agent models as then net monetary wealth is always zero. With population growth, however, net...

Stock market fluctuations are likely to be an important determinant of monetary policy decisions because of their potential impact on macroeconomy. At the same time, innovations in fed fund rates affect stock prices as they change the expected future real interest rates. In this paper we apply a...

This paper studies the role of monetary and open economy indicators in inflation targeting (IT) economies through the analysis of a nested Phillips curve/ P-star model for Chile and Mexico. For Chile a real money gap and a money growth indicator are found to be relevant in predicting deviations...

We consider an experiment where we use the Taylor rule information set, inflation and the output gap, to predict the next change in monetary policy for the United Kingdom 1992 - 2000. To do this we use a limited dependent variable approach, where the next rate change could be `upwards',...

In this paper we consider a two-country model. Each country is characterised by several different sources of nominal inertia. This distinguishes our model from others in the so called New Open Economy Macroeconomics and makes it a suitable framework within which analyse the stabilising...

The official view on ECB monetary policy claims that decisions are based on euro zone data and that diverging regional developments are disregarded. To test empirically whether regional developments have an impact on ECB decisions we develop a generalised monetary policy reaction function which...

We extend the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) by developing a two-country open-economy model under flexible exchange rates, where overlapping generations of consumers supply labour to imperfectly competitive firms which change their prices infrequently. We show that the fiscal response...

We consider a general equilibrium model where asymmetric information problems create frictions in credit markets used by households. In our economy, houses serve as collateral to lower the agency costs related to borrowing. We show that this amplifies the effect of monetary policy shocks on...

We report the results of an experimental analysis of monetary policy decision-making under uncertainty. A large sample of economically literate students from the London School of Economics played a simple monetary policy game, as both individuals and committees of five players. Our findings -...