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This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs). After describing the Bayesian principle of estimation, we first present the methodology originally developed by Litterman (1986) and Doan et al. (1984) and review alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825693
We propose a model of the interbank money market with an explicit role for central bank intervention and periodic reserve requirements, and study the interaction of profit-maximizing banks with a central bank targeting interest rates at high frequency. The model yields predictions on biweekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769266
lowering inflation. Such recent developments have brought to the forefront the idea that freely mobile capital, independent … all three. Inflation-targeting regimes being adopted by many countries provide a way of resolving this dilemma. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590912
The most salient trend in monetary policy over the past two decades has been increasing reliance on money market operations, which reflects the belief that allowing market forces to allocate financial resources brings about increased economic efficiency and growth. However, small economies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252522
This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment. Applying a time-series method to high-frequency Japanese data, the term-structure model is found to be useful for economic analysis only when interest rates are high. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605419
system development, sovereign debt vulnerabilities, and ways to sustain progress in reducing inflation by strengthening the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590924
The paper analyzes the relationship between large-scale capital inflows and sterilization efforts in the Czech Republic during 1993–96 using a vector autoregression (VAR) model, which consists of domestic credit, foreign reserves, and domestic and foreign interest rates. The analysis finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825811
financial variables in the CEE countries is similar to the one in mature economies. However, inflation shocks have very little … curve are transmitted both to interest rates and inflation expectations in the CEE countries-and transmission is stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519480
Some recent studies suggest the possibility of estimating a stable aggregate demand-for-money relationship for the group of countries participating in the European Monetary System. These results are of particular relevance in connection with the task of setting policy targets for a European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264074