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The purpose of this paper is to present a model that circumvents the requirement of explicitly setting a period in which the fiscal budget is to be balanced, yet implies that increases in the growth of public debt are bound to increase inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671923
can be analyzed as a credibility problem if the government has only one policy instrument, money supply carried out by … solve the credibility problem. They involve printing money or nominal debt and either (1) cutting taxes, (2) buying real … these policy instruments. It commits to higher money supply in the future so that the private sector expects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599394
money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non … policy decisions by providing a clearer narrative of the relative role of money in the interaction with other economic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599686
Pakistan. A stylized inflation model is specified that includes standard monetary variables (money supply, credit to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604974
real money balances, the approach followed here focuses on the relationship between nominal variables and inflation. The … at the end of the sample. The estimates confirm the strong relationship between money and inflation when M1 is used, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605268
A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646425
money but it is the organising feature of modern economies, giving rise to both episodes of stability and crises. In … constructing this argument I consider both orthodox and heterodox points of view. We analyse equilibrium models of money, and find … that while money can exist in sequence economies with frictions, models of this type give no justification for its creation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465939
This paper takes stock of the ECB's macroeconometric modelling strategy by focusing on the models and applications used in the Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division. We focus on the guiding principles underpinning the current portfolio of the main macroeconomic models and illustrate how they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565152
This paper presents the updated macroprudential stress test for the euro area banking system, comprising around 100 of the largest euro area credit institutions across 19 countries. The approach involves modelling banks' reactions to changing economic conditions. It also examines the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565213