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Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604946
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293721
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible … country's inflation performance. Examining a cross-section of up to 69 countries, we are able to show that granting a central … bank more autonomy does not necessarily lead to better inflation performance. To lower inflation by increasing independence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274749
have a stronger bargaining position when they try to prevent a cut in nominal wages. If inflation is so low that some … a long run trade off between inflation and unemployment for low levels of inflation. The prediction that low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284410
-separability of the utility function, inflation aversion, nominal transaction frictions). The monograph is organized as follows … market share competition with the assumption that agent?s behavior is characterized by inflation aversion. Chapter IV is … devoted to the GMM estimation of crucial parameters of the inflation-aversion model of the previous chapter. A model featuring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482289
Theoretical models point at various channels of the impact of inflation on corporate investment. This article attempts … corporate investment and inflation on the sample of 21 OECD countries in the years 1960-2005. The obtained negative relationship … this relationship: the marginal effect on corporate investment is higher at inflation rates between 3 and 5.5 per cent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312014