Showing 1 - 10 of 5,049
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070235
In the first-half of the global financial turmoil, rising inflation was a major concern for emerging East Asian central … addressing higher inflation or supporting moderate growth. Higher food and fuel prices were the major drivers of headline … inflation. Their causes, however, were a confluence of factors--whether cyclical or structural, domestic or global, supply or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529710
We empirically examine and compare the determinants of producer and consumer price inflation in 10 Asian economies … are more important in explaining producer price inflation than consumer price inflation in the 10 Asian economies. On the … other hand, for consumer prices, demand-pull factors still explain much of the inflation. Finally, we find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579513
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986398
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
The economic characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis differ from those of previous crises. It is a combination of demand- and supply-side constraints which led to the formation of a monetary overhang that will be unfrozen once the pandemic ends. Monetary policy must take this effect into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012592174
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
The global economy continued to recover in the winter semester, despite the number of new infections with the coronavirus rising sharply and containment measures tightened again in many countries. Industrial production and world trade have already fully catched up with activity levels before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590089
slightly to 3.2 percent, mainly because we do expect the US economy to recover slowly. Inflation is likely to have peaked and …. However, underlying inflation is not likely to return to target levels until the end of the forecast period. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013539196
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper …, is an important channel through which global economic slack influences domestic inflation. In particular, we document the … inflation rates, both across countries and over time. Accounting for the role of GVCs, we also find that the conventional trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657108