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This paper proposes a simple explanation for the frequent appearance of a price puzzle in VARs designed for monetary … empirics rather than the introduction of a commodity price. It proves that the omission of a measure of output gap (or … potential output) spuriously produces a price puzzle in a wide class of commonly used models. This can happen even if the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585346
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
hand, the estimated effect on nominal variables is reminiscent of the price puzzle. Usual remedies, such as inclusion of … results casting doubt on the usual interpretation that the price puzzle is a statistical artifact. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613627
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288003
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
This paper analyses the effects of loan supply, as well as aggregate demand, aggregate supply and monetary policy shocks between 1998 and 2014 in Macedonia using a structural Vector Auto Regression with sign restrictions and Bayesian estimation. The main results indicate that loan supply shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623896
This paper estimates the interaction between monetary- and fiscal policy using a structural VAR model with time-varying parameters. For demand and supply shocks, the two policies are estimated to be complementary, while for monetary and fiscal policies shocks the two policies act as substitutes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990029
This paper studies the effect of a monetary policy shock in the euro area on the main Estonian economic and financial … effects on Estonian GDP, private consumption, corporate investment, and imports. A monetary policy shock also has strong and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890463
We investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and monetary policy transmission in the U.S. economy. Monetary policy shocks are identified within the framework of nonlinear structural factor-augmented VARs which allow us to analyze several complementary hypotheses connecting IU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931106