predicted effects of overconfidence. These studies assume, however, that a specific type of overconfidence, i.e., miscalibration …-established miscalibration bias. We find no gender differences in overconfidence for our measures except for one, where women are more … overconfidence and linked to the judgment literature in psychology. Empirical tests of the models often fail to find evidence for the …

We experimentally investigate the determinants of overconfidence and test the hypothesis, advanced by Robert Trivers …, that overconfidence serves to more effectively persuade or deceive others. After performing a cognitively challenging task …

Overconfidence in one's relative performance within a group is a wide-spread phenomenon. Similar to individual (or … within-group) overconfidence, it was also shown that individuals are, on average, overconfident about the performance of … their group relative to other groups. We hypothesize that this between-group overconfidence should mitigate within …

We investigate the influence of overconfidence and risk aversion on individual financial decision making in the … their pre-experimental overconfidence scores, were assigned to the two types of markets: least overconfident subjects formed … trading activity were overconfidence dependent only for female participants. Mistakes in price forecasting, that are …

Miscalibration can be defined as the fact that people think that their knowledge is more precise than it actually is …. In a typical miscalibration experiment, subjects are asked to provide subjective confidence intervals. A very robust … fall inside the 90% intervals provided. As miscalibration is linked with bad results on a experimental financial market …

We examine factors that may contribute to 'overconfidence' in relative ability on an intelligence test. We test … an equilibrium strategy, providing a rationale for strategic overconfidence. …

salient perturbations, we propose a strategic foundation of overconfidence. Since overconfident statements are used in …