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The relationship between prices and output in the UK and the US
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria; … - 2021
This paper analyses the relationship between CPI and real GDP in both the US and the UK using fractional integration and long-range dependence techniques. All series appear to be highly trended and to exhibit high degrees of integration and persistence, especially in the case of CPI. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494781
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US house prices by census division : persistence, trends and structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2022
This paper uses fractional integration methods to examine persistence, trends and structural breaks in US house prices, more specifically the monthly Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index for Census Divisions, and the US as a whole over the period from January 1991 to August...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472362
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Long-run trends and cycles in US house prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2023
This paper analyses US nominal house prices at an annual frequency over the period from 1927 to 2022 by means of a very general time series model. This includes both a (linear and non-linear) deterministic and a stochastic component, with the latter allowing for fractional orders of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427184
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Customer Markets, Non-Separable Utility and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks
Hristov, Nikolay - 2010
As is well known, one of the major shortcomings of the New Keynesian model (NKM) with Calvo-type price setting is the lack of a microeconomic foundation of its most important building block - price stickiness. In this paper I investigate the ability of a monetary Customer Markets model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270130
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Persistence and seasonality in the US industrial production index
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2023
This paper uses a seasonal long-memory model to capture the behaviour of the US Industrial Production Index (IPI) over the period 1919Q1-2022Q4. This series is found to display a large value of the periodogram at the zero, long-run frequency, and to exhibit an order of integration around 1. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427486
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Long memory in German energy price indices
Barros, Carlos Pestana; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2012
This study examines the long-memory properties of German energy price indices (specifically, import and export prices, as well as producer and consumer prices) for hard coal, lignite, mineral oil and natural gas adopting a fractional integration modelling framework. The analysis is undertaken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288234
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Inflation persistence and structural breaks : the experience of inflation targeting countries and the US
Canarella, Giorgio; Miller, Stephen M. - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547692
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On the persistence of UK inflation : a long-range dependence approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trani, … - In: International journal of finance & economics : IJFE 27 (2022) 1, pp. 439-454
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814596
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Inflation persistence before and after inflation targeting : a fractional integration approach
Canarella, Giorgio; Miller, Stephen M. - In: Eastern economic journal 43 (2017) 1, pp. 78-103
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238865
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On the persistence of UK inflation : a long-range dependence approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Trani, … - 2018
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …-Bretton Woods changes in UK inflation are attributable to a fall in the volatility of permanent shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815117