Capital flight may undermine economic growth and the effectiveness of debt relief and foreign aid. This paper is the first attempt to test whether unsound macroeconomic policies or weak institutions lead to capital flight, using panel data for a large set of developing, emerging market and...

We offer a new methodology for the assessment of public debt sustainability in a stochastic economy when sovereign default taken into account. The default threshold differs from the no-Ponzi condition and depends on the post-default debt recovery rule. We distinguish sustainability and...

The Philippines’ macroeconomic fundamentals have improved considerably during the past decade. However, new macrofinancial challenges are emerging. The economy is continuing to adjust to the large persistent inflows from abroad. Transmission of domestic policy interest rates has been...

The article is a translation of an original manuscript by Josef Steindl, containing a paper he presented at the 1990 edition of the “International Summer School for Advanced Economic Studies” (the Trieste School). The manuscript, written in July of 1990, deals with the short and long-run...

In the context of the special issue on Joseph Steindl we publish an original manuscript by the same author, containing a paper he presented at the 1990 edition of the “International Summer School for Advanced Economic Studies†(the Trieste School). The manuscript, written in July of...

This staff report on Colombia’s arrangement under the Flexible Credit Line highlights economic policies and development. Colombia’s economic performance in recent years has been very strong, underpinned by a very strong institutional framework and prudent macroeconomic management....

We provide a comprehensive assessment of the relationship between public debt and GDP growth in the postwar advanced economies. We use the timing of changes in public debt and growth to account for endogeneity, and find little evidence of a negative relationship. Semi-parametric estimates do not...

We provide a comprehensive assessment of the relationship between public debt and GDP growth in the postwar advanced economies. We use the timing of changes in public debt and growth to account for endogeneity, and find little evidence of a negative relationship. Semi-parametric estimates do not...

This paper puts the Reinhart-Rogoff dataset to a formal econometric testing to see whether public debt has a negative nonlinear effect on growth if public debt exceeds 90% of GDP. Using nonlinear threshold models, we show that the negative nonlinear relationship between debt and growth is very...