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and we develop a debt sustainability analysis model with both channels using a country ratings proxy of political risk … rating level, volatility or both. Conversely, sustainability can be restored through reforms that can be as effective as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015406629
sufficient fiscal buffers during normal and good times. It has also reaffirmed the need for a thorough debt sustainability … narrative shock scenarios; (ii) a stochastic DSA, providing for a probabilistic approach to debt sustainability; and (iii) other … summarised in a heat map, which can provide guidance on the overall assessment of risks to debt sustainability. This method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634439
term structure of public debt on fiscal sustainability. We adopt the widely used backward-looking measure of fiscal … sustainability – fiscal responsiveness as proposed by Bohn (1998). Using data from De Graeve and Mazzolini (2023) and focusing on a … sole factor explaining the negative impact of longer maturity of public debt on fiscal sustainability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015125552
We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We …-varying coefficients, we find that fiscal sustainability increases with growth, fiscal balances and fiscal rules indices, and decreases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289
arrest the increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio and regain fiscal sustainability, and if so, why did they fail? Establishing … fiscal sustainability can be done directly or indirectly. Doing it directly entails the government increasing the primary … sustainability is through the impact of expenditure and revenue on economic growth. Leaving revenue for further study later, this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015076339
We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in 20 OECD economies between 1950 and 2019. We find stable long … interest rate and the real GDP growth rate (r-g) plays a crucial role in fiscal sustainability, as well as the existence of … fiscal rules on sustainability coefficients à la Hakkio and Rush (1991) and Bohn (1998) are heterogenous. Furthermore, before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543858
, for a panel of 12 countries from Central and Eastern Europe, in order to assess their debt sustainability, the level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312934
method, we find that (v) fiscal sustainability coefficients are higher the higher the lagged public debt ratios, fiscal rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375
This paper examines the implications of different monetary and fiscal policy rules in an economy characterized by Harrodian instability. We show that (i) a monetary rule along Taylor lines can be stabilizing for low debt ratios but becomes de-stabilizing if the debt ratio exceeds a certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522169
Governments can issue public debt for both good and bad reasons. The former include intertemporal tax smoothing, fiscal stimulus, and asset management. In contrast, the bad reasons, which generate higher indebtedness, are mainly associated with political cycles, rent capture, intergenerational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480731