Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira; Gaglianone, Wagner … - Departamento de Economia, Centro de Ciências Socais … - 2012
Decision makers often observe point forecasts of the same variable computed, for instance, by commercial banks, IMF, World Bank, but the econometric models used by such institutions are unknown. This paper shows how to use the information available at point forecasts to compute optimal density...