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(1994) argues that persistent on-converging sequences of rates of participation with permanent forecasting errors occur due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487597
(1994) argues that persistent on-converging sequences of rates of participation with permanent forecasting errors occur due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011191544
value forecasting performance. We illustrate our results in the context of an asset pricing model where a martingale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351490
This paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in face of aggregate demand shocks. Their payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409938
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
We study the informational role of prices in a stochastic environment. We provide a closed-form solution of the monopoly problem when the price imperfectly signals quality to the uninformed buyers. We then study the effect of noise on output, market price, information flows, and expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876408
are two general classes of steady states within this framework: those where strictly dominated forecasting rules vanish … demonstrates that intrinsic heterogeneity can also arise in a model where the forecasting rules are not equally costly, and do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011092167
The paper proves that the Bayesian approach to learning and expectations formation implies no propositions that could conceivably be refuted by observation. For a (non-expanding) universe infinite in time but finite at any point of time, it is shown that by a suitable choice of priors, any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956859
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596587
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271452