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recessions. If benefits are too generous, however, the programs can lengthen unemployment and raise the unemployment rate. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404836
It is widely suggested that there is some relationship between banking crises and recessions. We assess whether there … is evidence for interdependency between recessions and banking crises using both non-parametric tests and unconditional … predict banking crises and recessions and if these variables can explain the previously observed interdependence. Inclusion of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323565
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328746
-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … the current and recent recessions. We show empirically that these saving spikes were short-lived and common to all working … age groups. We then study life-cycle models in which recessions involve one or more of: (i) an aggregate permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331007
Recessions are complex events that affect personal health and behavior via various potentially opposing mechanisms …. While recessions are known to have negative effects on mental health and lead to an increase in suicides, it has been proven … that they reduce mortality rates. A general health policy agenda in relation to recessions remains ambiguous due to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573673
This paper studies the informational content of the slope of the yield curve as a predictor of recessions in the euro … outperforms all the other spreads in predicting recessions in the euro area. The result is con¯rmed when the au …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604340
-post classification of recessions and non-recessions 95% of the time for the one-quarter forecast horizon and 87% of the time for the four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301
This paper studies the differential persistent effects of initial economic conditions for labor market entrants in the United States from 1976 to 2015 by education, gender, and race using labor force survey data. We find persistent earnings and wage reductions especially for less advantaged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984486
This paper examines the long-run effects of the 1980-1982 recession on education and income. Using confidential Census data, I estimate difference-in-differences regressions that exploit variation across counties in recession severity and across cohorts in age at the time of the recession. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059156
corporate) and the depth of recessions. To do this, we differentiate between financial recessions and normal recessions on the … basis of how quickly their private debt builds up. In addition to output recessions, we look at consumption and investment … recessions. We find that financial recessions are deeper than normal recessions in advanced economies−and the differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064748