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) nonlinearityand seasonality simultaneously. The model is termed multiplicativeseasonal SETAR (SEASETAR). It can be viewed as a special … multiplicative constraints in non-multiplicative SETARmodels.These statistics form the basis of a new seasonality-test. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304390
demand for Tunisia, by presenting different techniques of detection of seasonality and the parametric and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009762132
integrated models and deterministic seasonality models. As well as examining how forecasts are computed in each case, the …. Section 3 discusses less traditional models, specifically nonlinear seasonal models and models for seasonality in variance …. Such nonlinear models primarily concentrate on interactions between seasonality and the business cycle, either using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023693
values) are taken, evidence of seasonality is obtained; more specifically, deterministic seasonality is rejected in favour of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427486
Infra-monthly time series have increasingly appeared on the radar of official statistics in recent years, mostly as a consequence of a general digital transformation process and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Many of those series are seasonal and thus in need for seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336397
We consider a nonparametric test for the null of seasonal unit roots in quarterly time series that builds on the RUR (records unit root) test by Aparicio, Escribano, and Sipols. We find that the test concept is more promising than a formalization of visual aids such as plots by quarter. In order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294023
For many economic time-series variables that are observed regularly and frequently, for example weekly, the underlying activity is not distributed uniformly across the year. For the aim of predicting annual data, one may consider temporal aggregation into larger subannual units based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294045
knowledge the empirical performance of two competing approaches to model seasonality in daily time series, namely the ARIMA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604188
This paper proposes a new univariate method to decompose a time series into a trend, a cyclical and a seasonal component: the Trend-Cycle filter (TC filter) and its extension, the Trend-Cycle-Season filter (TCS filter). They can be regarded as extensions of the Hodrick-Prescott filter (HP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604545
for interest rates and volatility. We extend this analysis and investigate the seasonality of market activity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605034