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New evidence about effects of reproductive variables on child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa
Kravdal, Øystein - 2016
There is considerable uncertainty about how reproductive factors affect child mortality. Joint determinants are … diverging results. According to very simple models estimated from DHS data from 28 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, mortality is … multilevel-multiprocess model. According to the latter models, the mortality of a first child goes up as the mother's age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694185
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Sample- and segment-size specific Model Selection in Mixture Regression Analysis
Sarstedt, Marko - Universität <München> / Fakultät für Betriebswirtschaft - 2006
extensive simulation study that examines the performance of commonly used information criteria in a mixture regression context …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418832
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The Optimal Prediction Simultaneous Equations Selection
Gorobets, Gorobets, A. - Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), … - 2004
This paper presents a method for selection of the optimal simultaneous equation system from a set of nested models under the condition of a small sample. The purpose of selection is to identify a model with the best prognostic possibilities. Multivariate AIC, BIC and AICC are used as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837511
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Financial Markets and Economic Growth in Poland: Simulations with an Econometric Model
Wdowinski, Piotr - CESifo - 2005
In this paper we present simulations of economic performance of the Polish economy based on a quarterly econometric model. The model consists of 22 stochastic equations, which link the financial market with the real economy. The purpose of the research is to present effects of changes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766248
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Bootstrapping the economy -- a non-parametric method of generating consistent future scenarios
Müller, Ulrich A; Bürgi, Roland; Dacorogna, Michel M - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2004
The fortune and the risk of a business venture depends on the future course of the economy. There is a strong demand for economic forecasts and scenarios that can be applied to planning and modeling. While there is an ongoing debate on modeling economic scenarios, the bootstrapping (or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506919
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Aggregation of Short-Memory Processes, the Volatility of Stock Market Return Indices and Long Memory
Barnes, Michelle L. - School of Economics, University of Adelaide - 1998
Monte Carlo simulation methods are used to generate independent series with short memory in volatility. Partial sums of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552933
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Carbon Tax Simulations Using a Household Demand Model
Brännlund, Runar; Nordström, Jonas - Institutionen för Nationalekonomi, Umeå Universitet - 1999
The main objective of this paper is to analyse consumer response due to changes in energy or environmental policy. To achieve the objective we for-mulate and estimate an econometric model for non-durable consumer demand in Sweden that utilises micro- as well as macro-data. The micro-economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651959
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Endogenous Versus Exogenous Growth Facing a Fertility Shock
Medeiros, João - Institut de Recherche Économique et Sociale (IRES), … - 2000
This paper simulates the impact of a permanent fertility shock on economic growth, using endogenous versus exogenous … decline in fertility on growth when compared with an exogenous growth model. This result stems from the rise in education …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004985272
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Work Capacity of Older Adults in Japan
Usui, Emiko; Shimizutani, Satoshi; Oshio, Takashi - Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of … - 2014
pension-eligible 60s and the first half of the 70s. The simulation results indicate a large work capacity. The health status …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960374
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La spesa sanitaria Ssn in Italia e nel Lazio. Ricostruzione con la metodologia Ecofin-Ocse, 1990 - oggi
SALERNO, Nicola Carmine - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
Ecofin and Oecd methodology is used to reconstruct the historical evolution of public current health care expenditure for Italy and Lazio (an Italian Region). The reconstructed evolutions allow to detect what have been the per-capita expenditures per age brackets in absolute values (Euro) in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108541