There has been a resurgence of interest in the effect of stock price changes on the real economy in the wake of the long stock market boom of the 1990s and the subsequent correction starting in 2000. One of the primary variables linking the stock market and output is consumption expenditure,...

This paper analyses the relationship between stock prices and the Chinese macro economy measured by the level of GDP. There are many possible channels of influence between these two variables, channels which may operate in either direction. There are also many theories relevant to these...

Despite high economic growth over the past 30 years, China’s substantial and persistent regional disparities have been the subject of continuing concern to policy makers, as well as the target of a wide variety of policies. An important issue in the policy debate about whether and how best to...

From the early 1960s onwards, Arnold Zellner has been publishing influential papers in the areas of statistical theory, econometric applications and macroeconomic modelling. This conversation canvasses Zellner’s transition from physics to economics, the reason for the renewal of interest in...

This paper uses quarterly US data from 1953(6) to 2000(6) to investigate the effects of share-price changes on investment. We focus on the distinction between speculative and fundamental components of share-price movements and we contribute to the literature by evaluating four alternative...