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This paper introduces a multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks. In the proposed framework, time series exhibit possibly fractional orders of integration which are allowed to be different in each subsample. The break date is endogenously determined using a procedure which minimises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196239
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470277
This paper uses fractional integration methods to examine persistence, trends and structural breaks in US house prices, more specifically the monthly Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index for Census Divisions, and the US as a whole over the period from January 1991 to August...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290053
In this paper, long memory behavior of the energy consumption by source of the United States has been examined using the fractional integration technique for the three conventional cases of no regressors, an intercept, and an intercept and a linear trend. In addition, this study extends majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486032
This paper proposes two simple tests that are based on certain time domain properties of I(d) processes. First, if a time series follows an I(d) process, then each subsample of the time series also follows an I(d) process with the same value of d. Second, if a time series follows an I(d)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940715
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282306
This paper considers a general model which allows for both deterministic and stochastic forms of seasonality, including fractional (stationary and nonstationary) orders of integration, and also incorporating endogenously determined structural breaks. Monte Carlo analysis shows that the suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405907
Fractionally integrated processes have become a standard class of models to describe the long memory features of economic and financial time series data. However, it has been demonstrated in numerous studies that structural break processes and non-linear features can often be confused as being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851300
Is there a short- to medium-term linkage between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility? This paper provides a clear-cut answer to the above question, pointing to significant linkages and trade-offs between macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility, particularly involving output volatility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004985625
In this short article we examine the real convergence hypothesis in Germany with respect to the US by means of fractional integration. Using a parametric procedure due to Robinson (1994), the results show that real convergence is only achieved in this country if we take into account the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047188