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exhibits significant out-of sample forecasting power for tail real and financial risk realizations, and that stress testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654174
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326
In this paper we examine the effects of media coverage of commodity prices increases and decreases on the price of the … commodity and how media coverage in other commodities affects prices. We provide evidence of the relationship between media … correlated with the media coverage of up movements, or increase in prices. The direction of the correlation is robust and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323648
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285361
1960-74, while prices, land values, and interest rates explain deviations from the trend during 1975-88. Projections of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010910468
Like most Sub-Saharan African countries, Kenya’s economic growth appears to have been primarily driven by factor accumulation. The Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix for Kenya examines economic developments and policies. During the last two decades, Kenya has been plagued by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005245277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382444
Why do prices in Spain's regions fail to converge? The prime suspects for this puzzling result are differences in … illustrate the effect of barriers on prices. A unique data set-derived from an extensive analysis of competition policies in … Spain- provides evidence that barriers to entry increase regional prices. The evidence also suggests that, consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826506
of out-of sample forecasting power for tail risk realizations of real activity for several countries, suggesting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519509