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Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output; Further International Evidence
Simone, Francisco Nadal-De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2002
This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, the rest of the euro area, and the United States. An index of concordance and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263734
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A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic
Benes, Jaromir; Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
This paper presents a multivariate (MV) methodology for obtaining measures of excess demand that can facilitate discussion of monetary policy issues and improve policy decisions. Using data for the Czech Republic, a growing economy undergoing major structural change, it shows how the use of more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264226
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How Different is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Blankenau, William - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada … household production sector. We use the model to generate data on home output, hours worked in the home sector, and hours spent … variables are generally less persistent than market variables, and cross-country correlations related to home production tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
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Gdp Growth, Potential Output, and Output Gaps in Mexico
Faal, Ebrima - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper analyzes the sources of Mexico's economic growth since the 1960s and compares various decompositions of historical growth into its trend and cyclical components. The role of the implied output gaps in the inflationary process is then assessed. Looking ahead, the paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604901
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Relating the Knowledge Production Function to total Factor Productivity; An Endogenous Growth Puzzle
Joutz, Frederick L.; Abdih, Yasser - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
The knowledge production function is central to R&D-based growth models. This paper empirically investigates the … knowledge production function and intertemporal spillover effects using cointegration techniques. Time-series evidence suggests … there are two long-run cointegrating relationships. The first captures a long-run knowledge production function; the second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605296
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Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap; An Application to Sweden
Saxena, Sweta Chaman; Cerra, Valerie - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605416
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Potential Output and Output Gap in Central America, Panama and Dominican Republic
Johnson, Christian A - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2013
unfortunately it is an unobservable variable. Using three methodologies (production function, switching, and state-space), this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790335
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Vietnam; Bayesian Estimation of Output Gap
Maliszewski, Wojciech - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper constructs a new output gap measure for Vietnam by applying Bayesian methods to a two-equation AS-AD model, while treating the output gap as an unobservable series to be estimated together with other parameters. Model coefficients are easily interpretable, and the output gap series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560446
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Kenya; Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2009
Like most Sub-Saharan African countries, Kenya’s economic growth appears to have been primarily driven by factor accumulation. The Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix for Kenya examines economic developments and policies. During the last two decades, Kenya has been plagued by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244155
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United Kingdom; Selected Issues Paper
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
This paper estimates the extent of spare capacity in the U.K. economy using a range of methodologies pointing to an output gap and the behavior of inflation during large output gaps. The usefulness of fiscal rules in supporting fiscal consolidation is generally positive, and a more permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244859