This paper applies the programs TRAMO and SEATS to seasonal adjustment of the monthly Consumer Price Index Swiss series. It is shown how the results of the purely automatic procedure can be improved with two simple modifications: one that emerges from the TRAMO-SEATS diagnostics, and another...

By modifying and generalizing the wavelet-based approach of approximately simulating univariate long-memory processes that is available in the literature, we propose a methodology for simulating a bivariate stationary process, whose components exhibit different relationships at different scales....

An interesting approach to economic and financial time series forecasting consists of decomposing an input time series additively into several components, each component capturing the dynamics of a different frequency range. Consequently, each component is modelled and forecasted separately, the...

Percival and Walden (2002) present a wavelet methodology of the least squares estimation of the long memory parameter for fractionally differenced processes. We suggest that the general idea of using wavelets for estimating long memory could be used for the estimation of long memory in time...

This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. This framework is...

This report assesses Korea’s data dissemination practices against the IMF’s Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) and is complemented by an in-depth assessment of the quality of the key macroeconomic datasets for the national accounts, prices, government finance, monetary, and...

Using data from Argentina, Australia, Colombia, El Salvador, Peru, and the United States, we identify three types of threshold effects when assessing the impact of economic activity on nonperforming loans (NPLs). For advanced financial systems showing low NPLs, there is an embedded...

This paper investigates the generalized parametric measurement methods of aggregate operational risk in compliance with the regulatory capital standards for operational risk in the New Basel Capital Accord ("Basel II"). Operational risk is commonly defined as the risk of loss resulting from...

Analysis of firm-level panel data from three sub-Saharan African economies shows that exporting manufacturers have a total factor productivity premium of 11-28 percent. The data do not allow testing of whether these premiums are caused by selection of more efficient producers into exporting or...