method, which will help to increase the quality of decision making and firm evaluation. To these tools belong scenarios and …

Thousands of scenarios are used to provide updated estimates for the impacts of climate change on extreme poverty in … most scenarios. These results are commensurate with available estimates for the global poverty increase due to COVID-19 …. Socioeconomic drivers play a major role: optimistic baseline scenarios (rapid and inclusive growth with universal access to basic …

any quantified uncertainty levels is problematic because it may lead to unjustified attention to the extreme scenarios …. It offers an alternative between forecasts and scenarios, which are both problematic. Long range planning using forecasts … with precise probabilities is problematic because it tends to suggests a false degree of precision. Using scenarios without …

uncertainty by means of scenarios and to optimise some robustness criteria such as the average and maximum regrets over these … scenarios. We propose to model the robust design as a bi-objective optimisation problem and to use a well-known multi …