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A notion of cognitive uncertainty is introduced as an agent's uncertainty about the validity of the results of his own … shown how cognitive uncertainty may prevent a group of well informed rational agents from playing backward induction in a … game of perfect information, whereas they would play backward induction without such uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118647
This paper analyzes growth and welfare effects of income taxation in a stochastic endogenous growth model with externalities in human-capital accumulation. The government participates in individual income risks by the collection of a flat-rate income tax that affects the mean and the variance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526591
We present a model of firm investment under uncertainty and partial irreversibility in which uncertainty is represented … by a jump diffusion. This allows to represent both the continuous Gaussian volatility and the discontinuous uncertainty … related to information arrival, sudden changes and large shocks. The model shows how both sources of uncertainty negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987374
-world quantities with transparent uncertainty quantification, than when based on “optimal” model-land quantities obtained from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110757
Meier [Games Econ. Behav. 62, 53–66] shows that the universal knowledge–belief space exists. However, besides the universality there is an other important property might be imposed on knowledge–belief spaces, inherited also from type spaces, the completeness. In this paper, we introduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011348
uncertainty principle. Problems, which can be solved, research fields, which can be augmented or created, and fields of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836335
the management of responses and adaptation to uncertainty in a society’s internal and external environments. This can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688023
Two deviations of alternating-offer bargaining behavior from economic theory are observed together, yet have been studied separately. Players who could secure themselves a large surplus share if bargainers were purely self-interested incompletely exploit their advantage. Delay in agreement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603731
. The discussions brings the concept of uncertainty in almost everything of social realms and makes some points related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018267
We derive robust predictions on the effects of uncertainty on short run investment dynamics in a broad class of models … of UK firms and a stock returns-based measure of uncertainty. As predicted we find that uncertainty reduces firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293014