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" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt … is made to estimate a NAIRU for Germany based on conventional Phillips curves as well as on new approaches such as using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
This paper provides new estimates of a time?varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … inflation target put forward by the European Central Bank. The estimates presented in this paper suggest that the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
This paper provides econometric evidence on the impact of labour market regulations on ('structural') unemployment rates. Based on a data set for 23 OECD countries over the time period 1985‑2013, the panel regression results suggest that standard institutional labour market indicators – such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099993
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882654
unemployment (NAIRU) in prominent SAARC countries (Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka and Nepal) by using a panel dataset … analysis. On the whole, the estimated values of NAIRU were reported 6.80 percent (with supply shocks) and 6.71 percent (without … supply shocks) in these countries. The study also reported the values of NAIRU for Pakistan (6.73 percent), Bangladesh (7 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938432
wage scope (price curve), which jointly determine the NAIRU. The heuristics of the model states that unless the rate of … unemployment approaches the NAIRU from any given initial value, inflation will be increasing or decreasing over time. We formalize …'s equations are re-interpretated as attractor relationships. We show that NAIRU unemployment dynamics are sufficient but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968441
Zusammenfassung Der Beitrag enthält eine Neuschätzung der inflationsstabilen Arbeitslosenquote (NAIRU) für … Westdeutschland 1980 bis 1998. Nach einer Darstellung des konzeptionellen Rahmens der NAIRU einschließlich verschiedener Varianten … methodischer Probleme. Erstmalig werden für Westdeutschland dann eine zeitvariable NAIRU mit Hilfe des Kaiman-Verfahrens sowie …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608832
Summary This paper provides new estimates of a time-varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break … measure of expected inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is … that the NAIRU compatible with 2 percent inflation in Germany is currently around 7 percent if the definition of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609206
This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276417
we critically discuss explanations based on the time-varying NAIRU and put against them explanations based on aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363111