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unemployment and monetary policy in a small open economy such as Sweden. Third, we do not want to overburden Swedish monetary … the Phillips curve based on constant inflation expectations has returned for Sweden. Based on estimates of this model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019080
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
There is no Phillips curve in the United States, i.e. unemployment does not drive inflation at any time horizon. There … is a statistically robust anti-Phillips curve - inflation leads unemployment by 10 quarters. Apparently, the anti … not reject the hypothesis that there exist a long-term equilibrium relation between inflation and unemployment in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621243
The main objective of this study is to investigate the long run trade-off between unemployment and inflation in Egypt … analysis confirm a positive relationship between changes in inflation rate and unemployment gap in the long run, which is … consistent with “Locus Critique” where a policy of inflation would fail to reduce the unemployment rate in the long run, because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108182
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in 𝑢𝑡 ∗ and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in ut* and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581875
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097479
. These include the distinction between the short and long-run trade-offs between inflation and unemployment, and the changing … level of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), particularly in the 1970s. We estimate Phillips curves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426716