By how much do employed households reduce their consumption when the aggregate unemployment rate rises? In Spain during … of their expectations on future income growth rates: the shadow of unemployment. Using consumption panel data that … the Great Recession a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate was related to a strong drop in household …

The Spanish economy is currently plagued by a deep recession with very high unemployment. We ask how much of the … unemployment increase in Spain can be traced back to the debt deleveraging needs of Spanish households. We use provincial household … debt and sectoral unemployment data and follow Mian and Sufi (2012) to isolate the effect of household debt on Spanish …

precautionary saving and a shift toward safer assets in the years leading up to unemployment, and depletion of savings during … unemployment. This suggests that at least some households can foresee and prepare for upcoming unemployment, which indicates that … private savings can to some extent serve as a substitute for publicly provided unemployment insurance. …

precautionary saving and a shift toward safer assets in the years leading up to unemployment, and depletion of savings during … unemployment. This suggests that at least some households can foresee and prepare for upcoming unemployment, which indicates that … private savings can complement publicly provided unemployment insurance. …

precautionary saving and a shift toward safer assets in the years leading up to unemployment, and depletion of savings during … unemployment. This suggests that at least some households can foresee and prepare for upcoming unemployment, which indicates that … private savings can to some extent serve as a substitute for publicly provided unemployment insurance. …

precautionary saving and a shift toward safer assets in the years leading up to unemployment, and depletion of savings during … unemployment. This suggests that at least some households can foresee and prepare for upcoming unemployment, which indicates that … private savings can complement publicly provided unemployment insurance. …

Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in 𝑢𝑡 ∗ and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to …