Showing 1 - 10 of 16
Using German data this study applies an unobserved-components approach to disentangle the unemployment rate into a … trend component of unemployment, which triggers permanent reactions of the workers, is likely connected to a structural … effect. By splitting up the participation effect of changes in the unemployment rate our analysis differs profoundly from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323799
in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis … effects and structural unemployment were substantially reduced after institutional reforms. In contrast, U.S. unemployment did …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372431
Traditional unobserved component models assume that the trend, cycle and seasonal components of an individual time series evolve separately over time. Although this assumption has been relaxed in recent papers that focus on trend-cycle interactions, it remains at the core of all seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752366
in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis … effects and structural unemployment were substantially reduced after institutional reforms. In contrast, U.S. unemployment did …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419535
components of matching efficiency and separation rate (shifting parameters) as well as unemployment and vacancies. Cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323817
This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between German output and employment growth, in particular their decoupling in recent years. We estimate a correlated unobserved components model that allows for both persistent and cyclical time variation in the employment impact of GDP as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420650
This paper explores the sources of fluctuations in sectoral employment growth rates across the Australian economy over three different periods: the pre-terms of trade boom period; the pre-GFC phase of the terms of trade boom; and the GFC and post-GFC phase. We find that common cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144170
This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between German output and employment growth, in particular their decoupling in recent years. We estimate a correlated unobserved components model that allows for both persistent and cyclical time variation in the employment impact of GDP as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401756
macroeconomic outcome of the reforms. For that purpose, we construct a new empirical model that links equilibrium unemployment … and separation rate as well as unemployment and vacancies. Cointegration and identification are addressed. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487258
This paper examines the relative importance of the structural and the persistence approach to unemployment. We set out … a standard imperfect competition model that decomposes observed unemployment into a structural and a persistent cyclical … component. The natural rate of unemployment is treated as an unobserved variable that has observable effects on the measured …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004982860