Showing 1 - 10 of 2,714
volatility of a time series. We derive the main properties of the model and apply it to all agricultural commodities in the … volatility process and, according to homoscedasticity tests, outperforms the ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) models, some of the most … popular approaches used in the literature to analyze price volatility. Keywords: Agricultural prices, volatility, GARCH models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456514
volatility of a time series. We derive the main properties of the model and apply it to all agricultural commodities in the … volatility process and, according to homoscedasticity tests, outperforms the ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) models, some of the most … popular approaches used in the literature to analyze price volatility. Keywords: Agricultural prices, volatility, GARCH models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788928
volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis … that output volatility raises output growth, and that output volatility reduces inflation. For Brazil, we do not find any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274392
The GARCH-t model is widely used to predict volatilty. However, modeling the conditional variance as a linear combination of past squared observations may not be the best approach if the standardized observations are non-Gaussian. A simple modi.cation lets the conditional variance, or its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650533
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115820
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015141783
The article deals with a typical phenomenon of financial time series - volatility. These time series usually embody … intermittent periods of relative "calm" and quite high variability. A volatility modelling of time series is made with the help of … special econometric volatility models which characterize the so-called conditional heteroskedasticity. The goal of this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021821
This is the first paper that estimates the price determinants of BitCoin in a Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework using high frequency data. Derived from a theoretical model, we estimate BitCoin transaction demand and speculative demand equations in a GARCH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948479
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
This paper analyzes the transmission from global commodity to domestic food prices for a large set of countries. First, a theoretical model is developed to explain price transmission for different trade regimes. Drawing from the competitive storage model under rational expectations, it is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353578