-market volatility as measured by the VIX. We propose a new estimator for the shape of the nonlinear forecasting relationship that …, revealing flight to safety: Expected returns increase for stocks when volatility increases from moderate to high levels, while …

following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple …

this, put forward the view that stock and bond return volatility is key. Evidence from the 2000s suggest that the relative … that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … volatility persisted during the first half of the twentieth century when the equity yield was higher. This was followed by more …