status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast series from twelve industrial nations. This revealed that, on average …Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions …, forecasts were much too close to the status quo - the current interest rate at the time when the forecast was made. With the aid …

groups more than forecasts by laypeople; I observe a home bias in all subject groups, which can be mitigated by information … signals; all subject groups expect lower forecast errors for financial professionals than for laypeople, hence I also find …