This note, employing a GARCH model, finds a positive and significant relationship between the level and variability of monthly inflation in India in the period 1957-2005, with causation running from inflation to uncertainty about future inflation, as hypothesized by Friedman. To the extent that...

The present study examines the long-run relationship between nominal interest rate and expected inflation in India by using three interest rates and inflation rates, based on both CPI and WPI, with the help of monthly data from April 1990 to December 2001. By using the autoregressive distributed...

In this study, we estimate a transfer function model to test the hypothesis that the U.S. leading economic indicators and the related composite index is statistically significant as an input to forecast real U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). We find the leading indicators are a statistically...

This paper investigates the existence of a long run money demand function for Bangladesh during the period 1975-1997 using the cointegration and error correction modelling approach. It also examines the parameter stability of the money demand function. The empirical results suggest that there...

The purpose of this paper is to offer an analysis of the behaviour of the money demand, inflation and their determinants, with a focus on the short-term impact of external shocks. Taking into account the weak structure of the Romanian economy (Dobrescu, 1997) the authors confined the study to...

The goal of this paper is to highlight the technical aspects of an attempt to construct a quarterly equation of household’s consumption as part of modelling the expenditure side of the GDP. Quarterly data on households’ consumption are available both in nominal and real terms for the 1994...

The paper attempts to estimate the monthly components of the nominal GDP in order to obtain the monthly nominal GDP for the Romanian economy. All the quarterly time series are available at current prices since 1994 to 2001. The method is a deterministic algorithm that computes unobserved monthly...

L’ISMA est un des principaux outils de diagnostic conjoncturel de la Banque de France. Publié chaque mois, il estime la croissance du PIB français pour le prochain trimestre, en se basant sur les données d’enquêtes de la Banque de France.

This paper analyzes the dynamic interactions between real estate markets, in the US and the UK and their macroeconomic environments. We apply a new approach based on a dynamic coherence function (DCF) to study these interactions bringing together different real estate markets (the securitized...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from oil and GDP, using panel data from 1971 to 2007 of 98 countries. Previous studies have discussed the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, but little attention has been paid to the...