In this paper we attempt to determine whether the per capita real incomes of GCC countries are trend or difference stationary. The distinction is crucial for at least three reasons: first pertains to forecasting; while a trend stationary series tends to return to its long run steady state...

In this paper we attempt to determine whether the per capita real incomes of GCC countries are trend or difference stationary. The distinction is crucial for at least three reasons: first pertains to forecasting; while a trend stationary series tends to return to its long run steady state...

We develop a set of nonparametric rank tests for non-stationary panels based on multivariate variance ratios which use untruncated kernels. As such, the tests do not require the choice of tuning parameters associated with bandwidth or lag length and also do not require choices with respect to...

We propose a rank-test of the null hypothesis of short memory stationarity possibly after linear detrending.

Leybourne et al. (1998) have proved the possibility of a “converse Perron phenomenon” when conventional Dickey-Fuller tests are applied to determine the order of integration of a time series. That is, if the true generating process is I(1) but with a break, frequent spurious rejections of...

Leybourne et al. (1998) have proved the possibility of a `converse Perron phenomenon' when conventional Dickey-Fuller tests are applied to deter-mine the order of integration of a time series. That is, if the true generating process is I(1) but with a break, frequent spurious rejections of the...

Hylleberg y otros (1990) desarrollaron un procedimiento de contraste de raíces unitarias estacionales para datos trimestrales. Dicho procedimiento fue extendido a series semanales por Cáceres (1996). Pues bien, en este trabajo se examinan los efectos de la presencia de observaciones anómalas...

This paper aims at improved accuracy in testing for long-run predictability in noisy series, such as stock market returns. Long-horizon regressions have previously been the dominant approach in this area. We suggest an alternative method that yields more accurate results. We find evidence of...

This paper analyses the statistical behavior of the US dollar, against nine different currencies, over the float period, with a monthly data set. The martingale hypothesis is rejected for all currencies. However, all currencies have a unit root. There is overwhelming evidence for significant...

The purpose of this study is to examine the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis (EMH) for 8 African Frontier markets between 2001 and 2017. To achieve this purpose, we employ unit root testing procedures which are robust to both nonlinearities and smooth structural breaks, making this study...