We review the concept of the term premium, examine alternative methods used to estimate it and discuss some of the challenges encountered in such efforts. We also explain how survey forecasts could be useful for providing an informal, model-free cross-check on simple regression-based forecasting...

Nascent markets for credit derivatives and structured credit in Asia and the Pacific were poised for rapid growth when the global financial turmoil hit. While there has been no significant deterioration in the quality of the underlying names, credit markets in the region have been swept up in...

A surge in structured finance in Asia and the Pacific has been driven by the securitisation of consumer loans and mortgages, a largely liquidity transforming activity. The securitisation of corporate debt in the region has so far seen relatively few deals but has a largely untapped potential to...

Sovereign spreads can be broken up into two components=the expected loss from default and the risk premium, with the latter reflecting how investors price the risk of unexpected losses. We show that the risk premium is often the larger part of the spread.

Corporate bond markets in Asia differ widely in size. Some primary markets have opened up to foreign issuers while others have relied on quasigovernment issuers. Secondary markets often suffer from illiquidity, due in varying degrees to narrow investor bases, inadequate microstructures and a...