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Conditional on the Shin (Economic Journal, 103, 1993) model, the incidence of insider trading is estimated in two different British betting markets: those for horse-racing and the 1997 general election. Formal testing confirms that insider trading is significantly lower in handicap than...
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Bookmakers practise a type of product bundling. To bet a horse for a place a punter has to bet an equal amount for a win. The returns to the place component of the bet are determined by a rule of thumb. This paper examines whether the product bundling negates a betting strategy that endeavours...
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It is well known that the parametric version of Cumulative Prospect theory (CPT) proposed by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and Tversky and Kahneman (1992) (KT) can explain gambling at actuarially unfair odds on long shots due to the over weighting of small probabilities. However betting on odds...
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The purpose in this article is to demonstrate that buying more than one ticket in a lottery is readily explicable in models of utility that permit gambling at actuarially unfair odds. However, contrary to popular view, we show this choice cannot be explained in terms of a variance-skew trade-off.
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The answer to this question, based on a study of 1000 greyhound races, is 'no'. Although the efficient markets hypothesis asserts that speculative market prices optimally encapsulate all relevant information, it is found that 'Shin probabilities' (based on Shin, 1993), in which a dog's winning...
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