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We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between monetary policy in the euro area and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation, we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887655
prices in Nigeria for the period 1995Q1 - 2015Q1. Utilizing the Johansen approach to cointegration and a vector error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460225
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378505
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001), and finds evidence of a positive long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886334
We use a dynamic factor model to provide a semi-structural representation for 101 quarterly US macroeconomic series. We find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock specification, we identify, using sign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691
When quantifying the importance of supply and demand for oil price fluctuations, a wide range of estimates have been reported. Models identified via a sharp upper bound on the short-run price elasticity of supply find supply shocks to be minor drivers. In turn, when replacing the upper bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496492
cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
This paper uses the panel data of 15 countries from 2009 to 2020 to construct the time-varying parameter panel vector error correction model for testing the hypothesis of dynamic hedging characteristics of gold on exchange rate. As the existing literature has never considered that the foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668314