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The aim of this paper is to identify the different shocks that could affect the current account in the argentine case, such as the terms of trade (the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect- HLM), supply shocks (productivity), demand shocks (real exchange rate and public consumption /current GDP) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966837
This study inspects if there is greater convergence with Germany amongst the Eurozone founding members and if their relations with the hegemonic economy have been more symmetrical after "euroization". The dimensions explored are those inspired by the optimum currency areas (OCA) framework. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708719
The first part of analysis draws out homogenous clusters of countries out of the 27 EU states based on their business cycle synchronicities with the euro area (EA) 12, quantified by correlations of cycles between the 27 countries’ GDP components and the EA12’s GDP1. The purpose is to compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094472
This paper attempts to assess how compatible China is with respect to its dollar-based exchange rate regime. Assessment is made in terms of the real convergence criteria suggested by the optimum currency areas (OCA) theory. In light of the endogenous problem in OCA analysis and this view of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195566
Motivated by the Chinese experience, we analyze an economy where the central bank has access to international capital markets, but the private sector does not. The central bank is modeled as a Ramsey planner who can choose the domestic interest rate and the level of international reserves....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815853
Origins and implications of twin deficits occurrence in a large scale of countries seems to be a center of rigorous empirical as well as theoretical investigation for decades. The reality of persisting fiscal and current account deficits became obvious in many advanced as well as advancing,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747394
In this paper we study the long-run determinants of current account balances in 21 OECD countries. We define long-run targets to determine whether actual current account balances are in line with their equilibrium values and find that, following the crisis, the United States, Japan and Spain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753347
This paper analyses the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in a small open economy in a flexible exchange rate regime. The key result is that the effects of fiscal policy depend on the size of the elasticity of substitution between traded and nontraded goods. In particular, the sign of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005042119
We analyse Ricardian Equivalence in open economy using a panel of 18 developed countries for 1973-1998. We use a dynamic panel estimated via instrumental variables and we discuss why this specification should be preferred to a static model estimated via ordinary least squares. We find a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555408
This paper documents and explains the positive comovement between the external and budget deficits of developing countries for which post-1960 time-series data are available. First, the estimates indicate that the empirical covariance between these deficits is always positive and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594692