We propose a mathematical model of momentum risk-taking, which is essentially real-time risk management focused on short-term volatility. Its implementation, a fully automated momentum equity trading system, is systematically discussed in this paper. It proved to be successful in extensive...

We propose a mathematical model of momentum risk-taking, which is essentially real-time risk management focused on short-term volatility. Its implementation, a fully automated momentum equity trading system, is systematically discussed in this paper. It proved to be successful in extensive...

Ormerod and Mounfield (Physica A 293 (2001) 573) analyse GDP data of 17 leading capitalist economies from 1870 to 1994 and conclude that the frequency of the duration of recessions is consistent with a power law. But in fact the data is consistent with an exponential (Boltzmann–Gibbs) law.

Close examination of wealth distributions reveal the existence of two distinct power law regimes. The Pareto exponents of the super-rich, identified, for example in rich lists such as provided by Forbes, are smaller than the Pareto exponents obtained for top earners in income data sets. Our...

We investigate the local fractal properties of the financial time series based on the whole history evolution (1991–2007) of the Warsaw Stock Exchange Index (WIG), connected with the largest developing financial market in Europe. Calculating the so-called local time-dependent Hurst exponent...

Log-periodic oscillations have been used to predict price trends and crashes on financial markets. So far two types of log-periodic oscillations have been associated with the real markets. The first type oscillations accompany a rising market and end in a crash. The second type oscillations,...

We study the flow of money among agents in a Barabasi–Albert (BA) scale free network, where each network node represents an agent and money exchange interactions are established through links. The system allows money trade between two agents at a time, betting a fraction f of the poorer’s...