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Long memory and nonlinearity are two key features of some macroeconomic time series which are characterized by persistent shocks that seem to rise faster during recession than it falls during expansion. A variant of nonlinear time series model together with long memory are used to examine these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482552
In this paper, long memory behavior of the energy consumption by source of the United States has been examined using the fractional integration technique for the three conventional cases of no regressors, an intercept, and an intercept and a linear trend. In addition, this study extends majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486032
Long memory and nonlinearity are two key features of some macroeconomic time series which are characterized by persistent shocks that seem to rise faster during recession than it falls during expansion. A variant of nonlinear time series model together with long memory are used to examine these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477601
In this paper, long memory behavior of the energy consumption by source of the United States has been examined using the fractional integration technique for the three conventional cases of no regressors, an intercept, and an intercept and a linear trend. In addition, this study extends majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268193
In this article we show that multiple cycles can occur in financial and economic time series. We model these cycles by means of Gegenbauer processes, using a procedure that permits us to test multiple roots at fixed frequencies over time and thus, it permits us to approximate the length of each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228643
In this paper we specify a multi-factor long-memory process that enables us to estimate the fractional differencing parameters at each frequency separately, and adopt this framework to model quarterly prices in three European countries (France, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421186
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604152
The present study aimed at investigating the existence of long memory properties in ten developed stock markets across the globe. When return series exhibit long memory, the series realizations are not independent over time and past returns can help predict future returns, thus violating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604154
We examine in this article the monthly structure of the US and the UK interest rates by means of using fractionally integrated semiparametric techniques. The results based on the quasi maximum likelihood estimate of Robinson (QMLE, 1995) indicate that the order of integration of both series is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515046
The annual structure of real output in the G7 countries is investigated in this article by means of fractional integration techniques. However, instead of using the classical ARMA specifications for describing the short-run components of the series, we use an approach due to Bloomfield (1973)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005579795