This paper presents a new answer to the old question of how to aggregate individual beliefs. We construct a model which allows agents to take arbitrage opportunities against the aggregated belief by making contingent claims against the states, and the aggregator (market maker) regulates the...

The paper analyses the evolution of the decision making process within the EU and assesses the effectiveness of the European voting procedures in the context of current and potential future enlargement. Based on a simulation model, we discussed some different scenarios of the voting...

Knowledge is central to managing an organization, but its presence in employees is difficult to measure directly. We hypothesize that external communication patterns reveal the location of knowledge within the management team. Using a large database of firm conference call transcripts, we find...

We analyze the problem of aggregating judgments over multiple issues from the perspective of whether aggregate judgments manage to efficiently use all voters' private information. While new in judgment aggregation theory, this perspective is familiar in a different body of literature about...

Trust is fragile. It is hard to build but easy to destroy. In this paper, we explore the fragility of trust in a stylized laboratory environment. We ask whether transgression outside a direct send-and-return relationship destroys trust and, if so, whether a competition against outsiders or an...

This study investigates the framing effect of experiments that conducted among students. The main aim of this work is to show the results of an experiment conducted in Turkey how could affect behavior of subjects who were students in banking and insurance business studies department. By...

This study investigates the framing effect of experiments that conducted among students. The main aim of this work is to show the results of an experiment conducted in Turkey how could affect behavior of subjects who were students in banking and insurance business studies department. By...

In this study, the factors determining profitability in the Turkish banking sector are examined. Return on assets (ROA) is analyzed through panel data analysis using internal, external and sectorial factors. The purpose of the study is to explore the factors that affect bank profitability and to...

The approach to decision theory has varied from one scholar and school of thought to the other from the development of mathematically complex systems, models and equations to the disregard of this particular academic endeavor altogether due to randomness and overwhelming subjectivity and...