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Recent developments in production of oil and natural gas from the tight sand and shale rock formations (primarily hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling) have a profound impact on the North American energy markets. The paper reviews recent crude oil production trends and their impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115908
This paper examines the behavior of crude oil futures price volatility and investigates how the EIA weekly crude oil inventory reports announcements, especially information shocks, impact crude oil price movement and volatility. This study focuses on inventory information shocks using a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115905
Due to the non-storability of electricity and the resulting lack of arbitrage-based arguments to price electricity forward contracts, a significant time-varying risk premium is exhibited. Using EEX data during the introduction of emission certificates and the German “Atom Moratorium” we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039524
This paper introduces a novel method for pricing commodity index derivatives consistently with market prices of derivatives on single commodities. We discuss the Black, mean-reversion and local volatility pricing models with special attention paid to the parameterization of volatility surfaces....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010741742
Energy companies with commitments to meet customers' daily electricity demands face the problem of hedging load and price risk. We propose a joint model for load and price dynamics, which is motivated by the goal of facilitating optimal hedging decisions, while also intuitively capturing the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718752
We extend the concept of half life of an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process to Lévy-driven continuous-time autoregressive moving average processes with stochastic volatility. The half life becomes state dependent, and we analyze its properties in terms of the characteristics of the process. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718760
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Die EU wollte den europäischen Energiebinnenmarkt noch im Jahr 2014 vollenden. Doch dürfte dieses Ziel deutlich verfehlt werden. Die Energiemärkte der Mitgliedstaaten bleiben insbesondere wegen unterschiedlicher mitgliedstaatlicher Regulierungseingriffe sehr heterogen. Für eine stärkere...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464114