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This study is designed to model and forecast Nigeria's stock market using the AllShare Index (ASI) as a proxy. By … studyanalyzes the stock market volatility in three distinct regimes (accumulation or distri-bution - regime 1; big-move - regime 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012513279
the behaviour of returns and their volatility during both the calm as well as various crises/turmoil periods. Besides the …-GJR-GARCH) were estimated in order to examine the volatility switches of the Central European transition stock markets. The t …-distribution of error terms was used to capture the dynamics of analysed returns more precisely. The results proved high volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013499116
The contributions of error distributions have been ignored while modeling stock market volatility in Nigeria and … studies have shown that the application of appropriate error distribution in volatility model enhances efficiency of the model …. Using Nigeria All Share Index from January 2, 2008 to February 11, 2013, this study estimates first order symmetric and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
-of-the-week effects in returns and volatility using the Nigerian stock exchange (NSE-30). The Gaussian, Student-t, and the Generalized … are sensitive to error distribution. Our finding also shows that evidence of good or bad news in volatility does not only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471089
In this paper, we examine the Nigerian stock market sector returns and estimate the bull and bear betas using the Logistic Smooth Threshold Market (LSTM) model. The LSTM model specification follows from the linear Constant Risk Market (CRM) model. We estimate the LSTM model for the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473527
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
This paper examines the effect of foreign exchange news announcements on the volatility of stock returns in Nigeria … market volatility in Nigeria under symmetric conditional variance. However, there was strong evidence of asymmetric effect … volatility equations. The empirical results revealed a positive and significant effect of exchange news announcements on stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843827
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) models fitted to ten years of daily data for FTSE. As a benchmark, we used the realized volatility (RV … two standard volatility models if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203997
time variation of stock return volatility (GARCH). In the long-term, our results suggest that the US defense firms only …. -- terrorism ; volatility ; GARCH ; event study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743349
conditional volatility and strongly support the estimation of dynamic returns that allow for time-varying correlations. A …This study examines the statistical properties required to model the dynamics of both the returns and volatility series … adequately estimate long-memory dynamics in returns and volatility. The in-sample diagnostic tests as well as out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272684