Inflation expectations are a crucial variable for central banks. However, empirically examining their properties is challenging. This paper juxtaposes the properties of consumer and professional expectations. It also assesses the degree of forward- and backward-lookingness and the information...

Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This study examined the predictive ability of business...

This paper replicates the main analysis of Svensson (2015) with some expansion to the original analysis, mainly for the United States. Overall, the replication exercise successfully confirms the conclusions of Svensson (2015). In both Sweden and the United States, empirical evidence sup- ports...

We provide empirical evidence on the Lucas Supply Function based on actual inflation surprises for 19 industrial economies. Our results show that the inflation surprise positively correlates with the output gap and that this relationship is negatively related to inflation variability.

The objective of this paper is to analyze the link between inflation expectations and actual inflation in the New EU Member States (NMS). To achieve this goal, the results of a qualitative consumer survey were transformed into a quantitative measure of inflation expectations using the...

After the financial and currency crisis in 2001, a new monetary policy era had begun in Turkey leading to a policy switch from fixed exchange rate to inflation targeting regime. This new monetary policy regime necessitates managing inflation expectations to curtail inertia in inflation dynamics....