The paper investigates the impact of exchange rate depreciation on the balance of payments (BOP) in Nigeria over the period 1961 - 2012. The analysis is based on a multivariate vector error correction framework. A long-term equilibrium relationship was found between BOP, exchange rate and other...

The paper investigates the impact of exchange rate depreciation on the balance of payments (BOP) in Nigeria over the period 1961 - 2012. The analysis is based on a multivariate vector error correction framework. A long-term equilibrium relationship was found between BOP, exchange rate and other...

There is an opinion that the Russian Central Bank's actual policy in 2000–2008 was real exchange rate targeting. At the same time, the Central Bank regularly declared inflation targets, but regularly missed them. We estimate a simple structural threshold VAR model of the Russian economy to...

In this paper we consider maximum likelihood estimation in some exact and inexact linear rational expectation (LRE) models. The implications of the two models on the coefficients of the vector autoregressive (VAR) model are spelled out. The inexact version is more complicated and possible...

Effective risk management is an important aspect of farming. Risk management involves choosing among alternatives that reduce the financial effects of the uncertainties of weather, yields, prices, government policies, and other factors that can cause wide swings in farm income. To deal with...

This paper examines 'fat tails puzzle' in the financial markets. Ignoring the rate of convergence in Central Limit Theorem (CLT) provides the 'fat tail' uncertainty. In this paper, we provide a review of the empirical results obtained 'fat tails puzzle' using innovative method of Yuri Gabovich...

This study examines the day-of-the-week effect in the Nigerian foreign exchange market (Naira against the US dollars), its volatility as well as the asymmetric effects, for the period of 12th May 2009 to 12th June, 2015. The empirical results of GARCH-t(1,1), EGARCH-t(1,1), GJR-GARCH-t(1,1),...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes, in terms of informational efficiency and risk, during the recent financial instability period. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses a state space model combined with a...

Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....

We investigate the impact of extreme weather conditions on the stock market returns of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Exchange. For the weather conditions, we apply dummy variables generated by applying a moving average and moving standard deviation. Our study provides two interesting...