In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...

This paper examines the predictability of corporate bond returns using the transaction-based index data for the period from October 1, 2002 to December 31, 2010. We find evidence of significant serial and cross-serial dependence in daily investment-grade and high-yield bond returns. The serial...

This paper investigates the motive of option trading. We show that option trading is mostly driven by differences of opinion, a finding different from the current literature that attempts to attribute option trading to information asymmetry. Our conclusion is based on three pieces of empirical...

Keeping information is a hard thing to do nowadays, mostly because of the development of communication and informational technology. An individual can hardly administer the huge amount of information he’s being bombarded with and that exceed his capacity

A restricted-perceptions equilibrium exists in which risk-averse agents believe stock prices follow a random walk with a conditional variance that is self-fulfilling. When agents estimate risk, bubbles and crashes arise. These effects are stronger when agents allow for ARCH in excess returns.

We make two methodological modifications to the method of testing CAPM beta and we show that these significantly affect inferences about the association between CAPM beta and stock returns. While the conventional beta proxy is indeed largely unrelated to realized stock returns (in fact the...

The answer to the question posed in the title is mostly yes. Using sorting and cross-section, we investigate the impact of illiquidity and transaction costs on value, size and momentum premiums in 11 CEE stock markets (Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania,...

Studies of accounting information value relevance are often based on the scale of R2 value. However, Insukindro (1998) states that a high R2 coefficient does not imply that a model is superior. When linear regression estimation produces a high coefficient of R2 but it is not consistent with the...

A formalism is developed to model time evolution of traders’ expectations in the FX market. The paper proves that the next-period probabilistic perspective follows the path of the fastest growth of subjective uncertainty and new information embodied in the next-period distribution. Time...

Dividend policy has been a puzzle in corporate finance for many decades. So far, the dividend policy continues to be a puzzle in the strategic firm development process. This paper studied the effect of exdividend date for cash-dividend policy in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) from 2001 to...