This paper constructs a simple endogenous growth model featuring the product cycle, i.e., the transition from monopoly to perfect competition, and studies its implications for both asset market and business cycle statistics. I find that the product cycle is a powerful amplification mechanism;...

This study uses the unexpected stock return as the threshold variable to proxy for the business cycle and construct the threshold vector error correction model (TVECM) to examine whether an asymmetric causal relationship exists between the housing return and four macroeconomic variables, namely,...

In den Jahren 2010 und 2011 sind die Preise für Wohnimmobilien in Deutschland zum ersten Mal nach über einer Dekade wieder flächendeckend real gestiegen. Die Preissteigerungen sind mit bis zu 5 Prozent pro Jahr in einigen Metropolen teilweise so rasant, dass eine Marktüberhitzung oder die...

The paper deals with equilibrium real price of a fixed asset in a growing economy. The supply of this kind of assets is by assumption fixed. Land or unique works of art are probably their closest empirical counterparts. Economic growth is manifested by a systematic increase in the real price of...

We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis business cycle model with two investment shocks. The first, an investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the relative price of investment. The second shock affects the...

The present crisis started in United States, the main motor of the present systemic crisis, as a financial failure. It spread rapidly in the economic area and also world wide. No economy was spared, and the emerging economies, among them Romania, were vis

We resolve the non-existence pathologies of dynamic rational expectations equilibria attributed to signal extraction from endogenous variables first discovered by Futia (1981). Non-existence is overturned once it is recognized that rational agents take into account the structure of the model...

The results of decomposition of output growth rates demonstrate that, in 2014, gross value added (GVA) in industrial production continued to be pushed up by the increasing inputs of extensive factors. The preliminary estimates of the growth rates of combined factor productivity (CFP) derived for...

According to business surveys carried out by the Gaidar Institute1, the initial data on the state of the Russian industry in the beginning of 2015 which was called a crisis year has little evidence of the crisis. The actual dynamics of demand and output, estimates of stocks of fi nished products...