Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, the paper embeds a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of...

The effects of government spending on a small open economy (SOE) have attracted little attention in the New-Keynesian SOE literature. One exception is Monacelli and Perotti (2007). In this paper we extend their work in several dimensions. First, we include both asset holder and non-asset holder...

External financial stress is one of the causes of capital outflows and reduction in borrowing ability of emerging markets. Sudden reversal of capital inflows and disruption in access to the international capital markets could be threat for the domestic financial stability as in the case of Asian...

With lessons learned from previous episodes as well as substantial improvements in economic policies and fundamentals over the years emerging market economies (EMEs) on average are better positioned to withstand financial turbulences, both now and in the near future, than in the past. Since...

It is argued that business cycles have been moderating. However, there are a limited number of studies in the literature analyzing the cyclical behaviour of commodity prices in the last decades. This paper attempts to fill this gap by investigating the super-cycles in oil prices. In addition,...